Volume 22 Number 2 December 1997


Do Interventions Contain Information? Evidence from the Australian Foreign Exchange Market

Sandra Hopkins and Jonathon Murphy

Abstract

In 1993, the political uncertainty regarding the passage of the Federal Budget through the Senate was reflected in the foreign exchange market. During August and September 1993, the Australian dollar depreciated by 7.5%. We present the results of a case study of the impact of official intervention and the information available to the market participants on the Australian dollar value over this period. We use daily data on the volume of intervention, the movement of the dollar and Reserve Bank of Australia announcements on intervention to consider the relative importance of information in the market. Our results indicate that the informational content of interventions is a major factor in the success of intervention policy.

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Keywords

EXCHANGE RATE; INTERVENTION; INFORMATION.


Contact Details

Sandra Hopkins
School of Economics and Finance
Curtin University of Technology
PO Box U1987
Perth WA 6001

Email: hopkinss@cbs.curtin.edu.au

Jonathon Murphy
Department of Resources Development
170 St George's Terrace
Perth WA 6000

We are grateful to Dr Meher Manzur and two anonymous referees for their helpful advice and comments. We would also like to thank Paula Haslehurst for providing excellent research assistance.



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